Service Plays Monday 6/27/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

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Thank you, wilheim




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GL!​

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

SOUTH BEACH SPORTS
Back to back winners this week end

Monday @ 2:20pm est

50 DIME - Colorado Rockies -120 (Listed Pitcher's)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Colorado Rockies And Cubs Meet At Wrigley Field
By: Willie Bee

Colorado Rockies-Chicago Cubs (+108, OFF)

Monday was originally an off day for both the Colorado Rockies and Chicago Cubs. Mother Nature altered those plans, however, and the two clubs will meet at Wrigley Field to make up a rainout from late April.

The contest gets underway at 11:20 a.m. (PT) with Chicago Sports Net and Root Sports providing broadcast coverage to the two local markets.

Colorado will tack the game on the end of an interleague road trip that took the Rockies through Cleveland and New York. It sets up a unique scheduling situation for Jim Tracy's squad that finds itself in the middle of the NL West standings behind the Giants and Diamondbacks.

The Rockies will head home from Chicago's North Side after the matinee to begin a 6-game homestand that starts with Chicago's South Side crew, the first of three vs. the White Sox set for Tuesday evening.

The Cubs will be making up two rainouts over the next two days beginning with Monday's affair against the Rockies. Mike Quade's club will have a day-night doubleheader at Wrigley on Tuesday against the Giants after a mid-May postponement vs. San Francisco.

This game was originally slated for April 27, the end of a 3-game series in Chicago. Colorado took the first two games of that weather-marred set and enters Monday's matchup with a 4-1 advantage over the Cubs this season.

Monday's mound clash is a rematch from earlier this season in Denver. Jhoulys Chacin (10-5, 2.71) is in line for Colorado against Chicago's Matt Garza (4-9, 4.11).

It's the last scheduled meeting in 2011 between the two teams meaning Garza will have started half of the six battles with the Rockies this season. The former Fresno State star is 0-2 in the previous two assignments, combining for 12 innings and a 4.50 ERA.

Garza has been a touch better at home in six starts, the Cubs splitting the outcomes on the MLB betting lines. He has posted a 3.75 ERA in 36 innings at the friendly confines, striking out 45 and serving up three gopher balls.

Chacin has been lights out this month regardless where he pitches. Colorado has won all four of the Venezuelan's starts, two on the road and two at home, the right-hander allowing just three earned runs in 26 2/3 June frames.

Garza and Chacin met at Coors Field on April 15 with Chacin walking away with a complete-game shutout in the Rockies' five-zip victory carrying a -150 price tag. The Colorado hurler allowed just six hits and two walks while whiffing seven Cubbies. Garza was charged with all five Rockies runs in the course of his six innings of work.

The victory left Chacin 1-1 lifetime in two starts and a relief appearance vs. the Cubs. Garza is 0-3 for his career in as many starts vs. Colorado with a 5.29 ERA.

This makeup could eventually result in needing a second makeup with the current forecast calling for a 70 percent chance of rain in the Windy City on Monday. Winds are expected out of the south at 10-15 mph (out to left).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

John Lannan (5-5, 3.40 ERA), Washington Nationals

It’s hard to get really excited about a pitcher with John Lannan’s skill sets. He’s not going to blow anyone away and he still walks more batters than a rotation’s ace should. But you can’t argue with the results.

The Nationals are 5-1 in the lefty’s last six trips to the bump and the under is 4-2 during that stretch as well. Lannan has given up just five earned runs in his last 34 innings of work.

Jeremy Hellickson (7-6, 3.09 ERA), Tampa Bay Rays

If it weren’t for all the losing, this hard-throwing righty would be getting some positive press. Hellickson is 0-3 in his last three starts but opponents are hitting just .189 off him in the month of June.

The rookie hurler owns a 3.00 ERA over his last five trips to the bump and the under is 5-0 during the streak. While Hellickson throws a lot of swing and miss stuff, he sometimes has trouble with his location. He’s walked nine batters and surrendered four home runs in his last three appearances.

Ian Kennedy (8-2, 2.90 ERA), Arizona Diamondbacks

Hindsight’s 20/20 but I think it’s safe to say the Yankees wish they’d held onto Kennedy instead of Phil Hughes. Kennedy has blossomed into a staff ace since the Bronx Bombers traded him to the D’Backs after the 2009 season.

The California native is 5-1 with a 2.26 ERA in his last nine outings. The Diamondbacks are also 6-2 in the right-hander’s last eight appearances and the under is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.


SLUMPING

Max Scherzer (9-3, 4.61 ERA), Detroit Tigers

The Tigers need better production from Scherzer for them to win the American League Central. Scherzer, who’s got the second best stuff on the Tigers’ pitching staff, is carrying a 7.79 ERA since May 26th.

"The thing I didn't do tonight was close out innings and keep it where it was," Scherzer explained to AP reporters after the Dodgers shelled for six runs on nine hits in six innings of work. "I left some pitches up in the zone, made some mistakes on 0-2 counts and gave them pitches to hit -- when I needed to throw my best pitch. I have to execute better in those situations."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday’s Betting Tips: Heat Wave At Wimbledon

Weather To Watch

Temperatures are expected to push 90 degrees at Wimbledon when play resumes on Monday.

Who’s Hot

MLB: Colorado has won seven of the club’s last eight games against the Chicago Cubs.

MLB: Tampa Bay is 8-1 in its last nine interleague games.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Los Angeles Angels are 1-7 in their last eight home games.

MLB: The Los Angeles Dodgers are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.

Key Stat

124 – Sabine Lisicki leads the women’s side of Wimbledon with a serve that checks in at 124 mph, ahead of Serena Williams’ 117. Lisicki is set as a -385 favorite against Petra Cetkovska.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

John Danks, Chicago White Sox – Danks was placed on the DL for the first time in his career on Sunday. The veteran was forced out of Saturday’s game with a strained right oblique after just 1 2/3 innings. He’s set for an MRI Monday and the club is expected to shift back to a five-man rotation until he’s healthy, likely at least three weeks from now.

Game Of The Day

Cleveland Indians at Arizona Diamondbacks (-175, 9)

Notable Quotable

"I said at the beginning of the tournament, and my view hasn't changed, that with Federer, Nadal and Djokovic, I couldn't make one a favourite in front of another, but I would put all three just in front of Andy. He's played very, very well. I think the good thing is he can play better, but he's still winning and that's important." – Tim Henman on Andy Murray, who is dealing with “Come on, Tim!” jeers from the Wimbledon crowd. Murray is set around -415 against Richard Gasquet Monday.

Tips And Notes

After squashing rumors that he was playing injured last week, Alex Rodriguez admitted Sunday that he hopes to play through a sore right knee this week. A-Rod hasn’t been slowed by the injury much so far, hitting .545 over the last six games and says he is feeling better every day. The Yankees are off on Monday but then begin a huge series with Milwaukee the following day.

Jay Bruce missed Cincinnati’s 7-5 loss to the Orioles on Sunday with an illness and his status for Monday’s game against Tampa Bay is also in question. Bruce, who leads the team with 17 home runs, will reportedly travel with the team to Florida, but there is some concern the bug might spread through the team. “We have to find a way to quarantine him so he doesn’t get everybody sick," Reds manager Dusty Baker told reporters. The Reds have won just three of their last 13 interleague games.

Davey Johnson will suit up for his first game as the Washington Nationals’ new manager Monday against the Los Angeles Angels. Johnson will manage the team for the rest of the season and then move into a consulting role after that. The Nats are 2-1 since Jim Riggleman’s resignation. Washington is set as a +125 road underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Monday’s Best MLB Bets

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers (-160, 9.5)

The Toronto Blue Jays normally lean on their strong bullpen but Ricky Romero gave them a break Sunday.

Romero fired a complete-game, four-hitting to boost the Blue Jays to a 5-0 win over St. Louis, pulling the club to a game above .500 while securing a three-game sweep of the Cardinals.

Toronto’s bullpen is working on a 3.53 ERA on the year and may be a bit busier Monday against Detroit with Zach Stewart scheduled to make his third MLB start. He is coming off a tough outing against the Braves in which he allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 3 2/3 innings.

“I have the tendency to rush a little bit and get overanxious and not repeat my delivery," Stewart told reporters. "I have those games when that happens, and even when I did make some of the good pitches and get into a groove a little bit and repeat my delivery, they were still hitting those as well. I made some mistakes but even when I pitched well they hit the good pitches. It was just one of those nights."

Even though under bettors have been loving the Jays lately, we’re liking the over with Tigers starter Max Scherzer struggling too.

PICK: Over


Kansas City Royals at San Diego Padres (-135, 6.5)

Last season was Mat Latos’ coming out party.

He won 14 games and struck out 189 batters while sporting a tidy 2.92 ERA in just his second year in the bigs. This year he’s having major problems getting back to that form.

Latos has been inconsistent at best and is struggling to correct some issues with his delivery. He has allowed 18 hits and eight runs over his last two starts and now sits just 4-8 on the year with only 76 strikeouts in 81 innings of work.

The 6-foot-6 righty might have some problems with the Royals, who snapped a six-game losing streak by taking two of three from the Cubs over the weekend.

PICK: Royals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Tampa Bay

The Rays look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 interleague games. Tampa Bay is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">MONDAY, JUNE 27
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.526; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.725
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.045; Minnesota (Blackburn) 13.712
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-105); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: Cleveland at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Talbot) 15.030; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+155); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: Kansas City at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.367; San Diego (Latos) 16.185
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: Washington at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 16.477; LA Angels (Santana) 15.454
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: Atlanta at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 14.836; Seattle (Bedard) 15.770
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: Colorado at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.048; Cubs (Garza) 14.337
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Toronto at Detroit (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stewart) 15.234; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.158
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="522">
</td> </tr> <tr> </tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

664- 504 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Mon Over 8 Dodgers/Twins over the total

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers Sunday.

Monday it's the Rockies. The correct deficit is 2438 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo made no progress on his deficit-reduction plan yesterday as his payday with the Rays was wiped out by the Angels, who collapsed in the ninth to leave the NRN (nasty red number) holding at 1,525 ruthvens.

Today, he'll cut to the chase with Chacin -- 10 units on the Rockies in Wrigley.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Padres -140 over Royals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

Palestino + SantiagoMorning OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Chile

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Padres -140 over Royals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Rockies
Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7.5 runs bet. Los Angeles and Washington

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ultimate

Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Write-Up


Monday, June 27

Remember as interleague play starts, there are DHs used in games in the American League ballparks; pitchers bat in National League parks.

AL teams are 87-80 vs NL teams so far in interleague play.
Over is 33-33-6 with a DH, 39-50-6 without one, 72-83-12 overall.

Hot pitchers
-- Leake is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three road starts.
-- Blackburn is 2-1, 3.08 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 5-1, 2.40 in his last nine starts.
-- Lannan is 3-0, 1.40 in his last six starts.
-- Bedard is 4-1, 1.93 in his last ten starts. Beachy is 2-0, 2.45 in his last six starts.
-- Chacin is 3-0, 1.01 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hellickson is 0-3, 4.82 in his last ten starts.
-- Billingsley is 2-2, 8.53 in his last four starts.
-- Talbot is 0-3, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 1-3, 5.70 in his last four starts. Latos is 0-2, 5.29 in his last three starts.
-- Santana is 0-4, 4.83 in his last five starts.
-- Garza is 1-2, 5.33 in his last five starts.
-- Scherzer has a 7.79 RA in his last six starts. Stewart is 0-1, 5.91 in his two starts this season.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Over is 9-5-2 in Dodgers' last sixteen games.
-- Under is 7-3 in Arizona's last ten home games.
-- Over is 11-2-2 in Kansas City's last 15 road games.
-- 10 of last 14 Washington road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Colorado's last thirteen road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Toronto games stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Rays won eight of their last nine games. Cincinnati won four of its last six road games.
-- Padres won four of their last five games.
-- Washington won 13 of its last 15 games. Angels won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Toronto won its last three games, allowing seven runs. Detroit won 11 of its last 15 home games.

Cold Teams
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last twelve games. Minnesota lost its last five games, scoring eight runs.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven home games. Indians lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five road games.
-- Seattle lost four of its last five games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last eight games. Colorado lost three of last four.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

TAMPA BAY HELLICKSON -R -105 over Cincinnati

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Monday
Play Detroit (-160) over Toronto (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 6:00 PM EST

Detroit pitcher, Max Scherzer has won 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has also won 16 of the last 21 home games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Max Scherzer is 2-0 vs. Toronto over his career with an ERA of 1.35 and he is 5-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 3.19.

Play Arizona (-170) over Cleveland (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 9:40 PM EST

Arizona pitcher, Ian Kennedy has won 2 consecutive games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.45. Cleveland pitcher, Mitch Talbot has lost 5 of the last 7 games as a road underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.19.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Play Colorado (-120) over Chicago Cubs (Bonus)

 

[jdsabre]

VEGAS WISE GUY
LA Angels (Santana): LA Angels -130 Over Washington (Lannan)
The Nationals have been red hot, winning 13 of their last 15, and also moved into 3rd place in the NL East standings. They just took 2 of 3 from the White Sox over the weekend. However, they have to travel to the west coast without a day off in between. Add to this, I believe it is to the point now where the Nationals start to show their true colors and come back down to earth. The Angels took 2 of 3 from the Dodgers over the weekend, so obviously there is no travel factor. While Lannan posts great numbers at home for the Nats, his road success, or lack thereof, really shows when looking at advanced stats. He has a 1.56 WHIP, a 1.43 K/BB rate, and 3.56 BB/IP when pitching away from home this season. Add to that a 4.17 xFIP, a 5.61 tERA, and a 5.10 QERA. Plus in 2 interleague games in his career in AL parks, he has a whopping 10.45 ERA. While Santana is by no means Cy Young, he shows good advanced numbers at home, particularly with K/BB rate(2.65) and BB/IP rate(2.68). In 50,000 simulations ran using these pitchers, the Angels won 58% of the time. That kind of probability results in a line of -138, so we have around 10 cents of value in backing the Angels. In fact, I am going to look to back the Angels every game this series if the value is there. Look for the Nationals to struggle in this series and it all starts today.